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Your Morning Dump… Stats show Olynyk is an average defender!

Chuck - Red's Army January 22, 2015 Kelly Olynyk, Marcus Smart, Rajon Rondo, The Morning Dump 31 Comments

OlynykGibson

Every morning, we compile the links of the day and dump them here… highlighting the big story line. Because there’s nothing quite as satisfying as a good morning dump.

There are more encouraging numbers in regards to Olynyk’s defense, however. The team’s defensive rating with him on the floor is essentially in lockstep with Boston’s season average, suggesting he’s not having a particularly negative impact. But maybe most interesting is that the league’s player tracking data suggests that opponents shoot only 0.9 percent higher than their season averages against Olynyk. He’s holding those opponents to 59.4 percent shooting inside of 6 feet, which is only 0.3 percent above those players’ averages. For numbers inside of 10 feet — and 2-pointers overall — Olynyk is holding players below their season marks.

ESPN Boston

I’ll be honest, I expected the defensive stats to be much worse. While Olynyk doesn’t have the quickness or instincts to ever be a dominant paint defender, he can work his way  into the solid category.

Here’s the real rub with Olynyk – the fouls. His knack for picking up fouls quickly force him to the bench, which disrupts his rhythm on offense – where his real value lies.

There are a few feature stories this morning on Olynyk’s counterpart – Marcus Smart. Who would have guessed that the rookie actually learned something from Jameer Nelson during his short stint in Boston.

“He wasn’t playing, but he’s still in there trying to talk to us, pointing out what we need to do to win games,” said Smart. “Just shows how much he loves the game. Although as a competitor you want to play ­— and I’m sure he wants to play — he’s able to stay focused. It just shows the leadership that he has. That’s why he’s been so long in this league.”

[On his confrontation with DeMarcus Cousins] “I’m glad Jameer grabbed me,” said Smart. “He was just kind of telling me, it’s not worth losing money over it, man. You’ve worked too hard to get that money. There’s no reason for you to give it back. Just don’t retaliate. You did what you were supposed to do. You played hard. (Cousins) couldn’t take it, you got under his skin, and you got him off the court just by playing hard. Don’t let that affect you. Just keep playing. (Nelson) was telling me stay away from it, no matter what goes on on the court.”

Money is the universal language.

Smart seems to have the right attitude for a rookie, and it’s one that doesn’t quite jive with what we heard about him in college. The one extremely frustrating tidbit in Mark Murphy’s story – Smart didn’t tape his ankles on the night he suffered the severe sprain.

Related – Globe: Smart’s development encouraging

On Page 2, quite possibly Rajon Rondo’s best ball fake.

Poor Thaddeus Young. He’s still looking for the ball.

(h/t Mavs Moneyball)

The rest of the links:

Herald – Stevens in think mode | WEEI – Ainge’s sabermetric manifesto | Celtics.com – C’s hope to be refreshed after 4 days in LA | CSNNE – NBA tweaks format for Rising Stars

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  • bill_nair

    Imagine KO and Sully’s stats next to a legit defensive presence.

  • Dirk Diggler

    Olynyk per 36 minutes stats:

    – 16.5 PTS
    – 8.0 TRB
    – 2.6 AST
    – 1.5 STL
    – 1.0 BLK
    – .509 FG%
    – .354 3PT%
    – 16.29 PER

    He’s the best player on the team. Kelly needs more minutes and more touches, and that’s on Brad. I’ve been saying since Kelly was at Gonzaga that his offensive skill set is amazing across the board. He’s quick and agile for a big man and can take other bigs off the dribble. When bigger, slower forwards sag off Kelly, he’ll knock down the open trey, especially in transition. Great passer and hustle player as well. Olynyk only lacks consistency because he is constantly on the bench either because of bogus foul calls or because he’s in Brad’s doghouse for whatever reason.

    • Ron Flanders

      Watch the calls against Olynyk…and ask yourself…would just about any other NBA player get those calls for the same contact? Maybe he should cut his hair or get a tattoo or something. He actually has quick hands and is smart. He can get some steals. But the fouls are absurd. He gets like two bogus calls a game.

      • Hugo

        Don’t fool yourself. He’s leading the league in fouls, is it because of the referees? Don’t look at the stats, just watch the games, he’s a below average defense, period.

        • Ron Flanders

          Hugo, I watch every game. Perhaps somebody here could post a video? The stats and the eye-test say he is getting treated like a rookie or worse.

          • Hugo

            So you’re saying he’s not a below average defender?

          • VictorEnriq

            i’m sure the article says “an average defender” which is not “below average”

          • Hugo

            Right, thats why I said to forget about the stats and just watch the games. I like Olynyk since college but he’s one of the leagues worst defenders. Sully is average. Not Kelly.

      • Dirk Diggler

        Totally agree. Seeing him on tape and in the Garden, I see a big man with above average lateral agility and quickness on the defensive end of the floor for his position. He moves his feet fairly well and is a good team defender who switches off screens. He puts his hands STRAIGHT UP like any good defender would do and uses his length to change shots. The majority of the fouls called against him are either ticky tack or flat out bad calls. No doubt.

    • bill_nair

      I wouldn’t put that on Brad too much. KO for whatever reason is incredibly hesitant. He has free reign to score he just refuses too. Never seen someone with his scoring ability pass up so many shots.

      • VictorEnriq

        KG comes to mind. PS. not comparing him to KG on anything except both being “reluctant scorers”

        • bill_nair

          KG his final season or 2 in Boston maybe but the comparisons dont really work when you look at KG’s body of work.

          Do you mean how KG could have always put up more points but never gunned away like one Mr.Bryant? Either way, KO wishes he was 15% as aggressive on both ends as KG.

          • Dave

            KG at his age still plays with more aggression than everybody on this team combined right now.

          • bill_nair

            Aint that the truth! Id upvote you 100 times if I could.

          • Dave

            You get one as well haha.

    • zippittyay

      Sully’s per 36 stats have more points, rebounds, assists and a higher PER, more FTs and blocks. Give KO the edge on shooting % though.

    • Frank Aziza

      He needs to believe he’s the best player on the floor

      • Dirk Diggler

        True. It seems Kelly is slowly but surely building more confidence. Still a very young player with a lot of upside.

    • wil

      TZ, Sully and Kelly all needs more touches and plays called out for em. Good things happen when they are holding the ball.

      Those 3 can pass and makes good decisions with the ball. I think right now we just need guards who can buy em space. Our guards are easy to defend. Need more versatility on that end.

  • NE_Celt

    “Poor Thaddeus Young. He’s still looking for the ball.” hahaha…this gave me a good chuckle.

    I am kind of disappointed by KO’s step back in production. It didn’t seem like he was fouling this much earlier in the season, and his offensive game started to improve. But lately he has been hacking away. I think he is smart enough to improve though, and hopefully we can see that happen this season.

    • bill_nair

      love the new avi NE.

      • NE_Celt

        Thanks man…its a Reds Army special haha

  • KGino
    • zippittyay

      What did I miss on the video?

      • KGino

        Think I fixed it.

        • bill_nair

          Lmao thanks for fixing it. I knew it would be about Bron wasnt expecting that.

  • Dave

    That ball fake was good but I still prefer this one, he also looked better doing it in green :)

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