January 27, 2007

Ohio St. v. Michigan St.

 

 

Offense:

 

Greg Oden was rarely aggressive in this game.  There were exactly 2 moves in this game where Oden made a drop step and aggressively attacked the defender and the basket.  Both resulted in foul calls.  The rest of the game, he was content to catch the ball, turn and shoot a jump hook over the defender.  Early in the game, those shots were falling for him.  They stopped falling for him later in the first half… and he didn’t hit a single shot in the 2nd half. 

 

Without the ball, Oden was very often seemingly disinterested in setting picks.  There was one possession in particular where Oden just causally jogged to a spot and stood there while his teammate, and his teammate’s defender, just ran by him.  Then he jogged to another spot where the same thing happened.  I didn’t see Oden set anything that resembled a decent pick all night long. 

 

The one thing I noticed about Oden’s play is that it was aggressive out of stoppages.  He started the game hot… then cooled off.  He made good plays out of timeouts… and when he came back in after sitting on the bench.  His first aggressive move to the hoop was on his first touch out of the second half.  This all means that his conditioning is way off.  That is obviously understandable since he hasn’t been able to do much with the injured wrist.  However, once that wrist heals, it is imperative that he adds bulk.  Right now, there are guys who will never come close to the NBA that can body him up and keep him from attacking the basket.  Oden is worn down easily, and his disinterest in the offense is most likely because he’s too tired to move and take more hits as he’s setting picks.  If he’s in this condition when he enters the NBA, it will be a very long, very tough road for him.

 

Defense:

 

That fatigue is probably the reason why I saw him play a lot of defense with his hands by his side.  However, the arms went up whenever he sensed a blocked shot coming.  He has good instincts when it comes to shot blocking, especially as the help defender.  All 3 of his blocks came on someone else’s man.  I don’t recall a single instance of his man posting up and taking a shot.  The only time his man scored is when he was lost on a pick and roll. 

 

When he’s defending the pick and roll, he does a decent job of showing himself and blocking the ball handler’s path long enough for his teammate to recover.  Just about every time, he forced the ball handler to dribble away from the basket.  It would have been better if he’d gotten his hands up more, but no one on Michigan St. was able to exploit that and get the ball to a cutter. 

 

One very good thing that I saw was his attempts at boxing out.  He always looked to box someone out when the shot went up, rather than relying on his height to get rebounds.  He only got 6 rebounds on the night, but it was rarely because he didn’t box someone out.  There were about 2 or 3 chances he missed because of his lack of strength.  Right now, Oden can be moved off the spot by a stronger opponent.  He loses battles in the air because stronger guys can force him away from the ball. 

 

Overall:

 

There is no doubt Oden has a ton of talent, and a lot of heart.  He dove and recovered a late loose ball, and hit a big free throw after he was fouled in the scrum.  After all of the notes I made during the game about his lack of interest in the offense and the lack of aggressiveness in the post, I came to one conclusion as to why it was happening.  He is simply out of shape.

 

The bottom line here is this:  Greg Oden is very talented, but still very raw.  Michigan St. bodied him up and wore him down quickly.  They forced him to take jumpers rather than go to the hoop (he had no dunks in this game) and that paid off in the second half when he was too tired to care about contributing to the offense.  Everyone knows that his broken wrist is still healing, so there’s not much you can do about adding bulk right now.  So this is what you’re going to get for the time being.  His talent is obvious.  He’s got a good touch on that jump hook.  He’s got good shot blocking instincts and he should grab just about every rebound in his area.  But it’s also clear to see that he doesn’t have enough in the tank to compete for 40 minutes against good teams.  As an opponent, you can neutralize Oden right now by putting your strongest defender on him and then running early in the game.  That will wear him down enough where he’ll be a non-factor on offense.  That will give your team its best chance at beating Ohio St.